Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.219187 0.248927 0.280790 0.317418 0.358309 0.402503 0.453830
2026-02-01 0.176923 0.216239 0.261139 0.316034 0.381151 0.455730 0.547408
2026-02-08 0.147061 0.191626 0.245414 0.314736 0.401289 0.505337 0.639385
2026-02-15 0.124502 0.171873 0.231952 0.313086 0.419045 0.551891 0.730094
2026-02-22 0.110314 0.160380 0.226741 0.320135 0.446998 0.611960 0.841067
2026-03-01 0.096400 0.147140 0.217227 0.319714 0.464053 0.658084 0.936179
2026-03-08 0.085169 0.136044 0.209063 0.319671 0.480686 0.703770 1.032720
2026-03-15 0.075962 0.126643 0.202043 0.320068 0.497207 0.749528 1.131355
2026-03-22 0.069484 0.120532 0.199036 0.325672 0.521096 0.806532 1.248667
2026-03-29 0.064532 0.116187 0.198121 0.334028 0.549210 0.870818 1.379711
2026-04-05 0.059065 0.110312 0.194101 0.336918 0.568729 0.922960 1.495054
2026-04-12 0.055048 0.106408 0.192798 0.343821 0.594654 0.985858 1.629621
2026-04-19 0.051510 0.103090 0.192358 0.352410 0.624390 1.057239 1.782825
2026-04-26 0.046706 0.096915 0.186417 0.351126 0.637657 1.103166 1.898299
2026-05-03 0.042450 0.091259 0.180809 0.349828 0.650589 1.148996 2.015770
2026-05-10 0.038609 0.085943 0.175274 0.348085 0.662412 1.193352 2.132801
2026-05-17 0.036405 0.083634 0.175062 0.355882 0.691281 1.267527 2.302877
2026-05-24 0.033417 0.079348 0.170659 0.355442 0.705204 1.316743 2.432922
2026-05-31 0.030775 0.075479 0.166682 0.355407 0.719686 1.367431 2.567659
2026-06-07 0.028440 0.071999 0.163137 0.355851 0.734928 1.420009 2.707923
2026-06-14 0.026871 0.070053 0.162536 0.362022 0.761272 1.493565 2.888479
2026-06-21 0.025694 0.068877 0.163426 0.371218 0.793894 1.579948 3.095752
2026-06-28 0.024088 0.066490 0.161493 0.374397 0.814831 1.645714 3.268384